A year containing a pandemic is, generally speaking, not a great year to have made predictions. In this review of the predictions we made for 2020 in January of last year, we will eat some crow. However, many of the things we thought might happen did, in fact, turn out to be the case. 2020 was a wild and woolly year, but on balance we were surprisingly prescient. However, we did miss clearly on the start and the magnitude of the recession.
Here are the predictions made last year and an assessment of each’s accuracy.
Prediction 1: What we said: