Eighteen months after the onset of COVID-19, where are we economically in the United States? And how are things likely to change moving forward?
The COVID-19 recession was by far the shortest in U.S. history, lasting two months, from February to April 2020. The average length of recessions since World War II has been 11 months, and the Great Recession of 2007–2009 was 18 months. However, this recession’s brevity does not imply that it was modest. In fact, the peak unemployment rate was higher than it’s been since the Great Depression in the 1930s.